Federal Register - July 14, 2021

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Federal Register / Vol. 86, No. 132 / Wednesday, July 14, 2021 / Rules and Regulations and projections of large office existing floor space and large office additions as the variables referred to as 2019

regression in Table III.3. 85 FR 57149, 57156.

TABLE III.3COMPARISON OF SHIPMENT PROJECTIONS FOR WCUACS AND ECUACS BY EQUIPMENT CLASS
2018

2020

2025

2030

2035

2040

2045


39
39


33
39


18
39


10
39


6
39


3
39


2
39

Small WCUAC, <65,000 Btu/h 2012
2012
2019
2019

trend
constant =2009
trend
constant =2018

Small WCUAC, 65,000 and <135,000 Btu/h 2012
2012
2019
2019

trend
constant =2009
trend
constant =2018

Large WCUAC, 135,000 and <240,000 Btu/h 2012
2012
2019
2019

trend
constant =2009
trend
constant =2018

Very Large WCUAC, 240,000 and 760,000 Btu/h 2012
2012
2019
2019
2019

trend
constant =2009
trend
constant =2018
regression

I

93
152
106
106

I

132
182
108
108

I

953
585
844
844
844

I

I
I I

76
152
87
106

117
182
110
108

944
585
777
844
1000

I

I
I I

I

46
152
52
106

87
182
78
108

923
585
721
844
929

I
I I

I

I

28
152
32
106

17
152
19
106

10
152
11
106

6
152
7 106

64
182
55
108

47
182
39
108

35
182
28
108

26
182
20
108

903
585
664
844
927

I

I

I

I

882
585
608
844
865

I

I

861
585
551
844
844

I

I

840
585
495
844
828

Small ECUAC, <65,000 Btu/h 2012
2012
2019
2019

trend
constant =2009
trend
constant =2018

Very Large ECUAC, 240,000 and 760,000 Btu/h
lotter on DSK11XQN23PROD with RULES1

2012
2012
2019
2019
2019

trend
constant =2009
trend
constant =2018
regression

In the May 2012 final rule, DOE did not analyze small ECUACs and WCUACs with cooling capacity less than 65,000 Btu/h. 77 FR 28927, 28934
28937. For the July 2019 ECS RFI, DOE
identified a single manufacturer of ECUACs in this capacity range, and the models offered are single-phase equipment and appear to be predominantly marketed for residential applications in regions of the United States with hot and dry climates, suggesting that there are few if any shipments in other regions of the United States. 84 FR 36480, 36485. DOE
identified only two distinct product lines of WCUACs with cooling capacity less than 65,000 Btu/h, and DOEs examination of manufacturer literature for these WCUACs suggested that these
VerDate Sep<11>2014

16:14 Jul 13, 2021

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I


156
156

I

245
150
14
14
14


132
156

I

I

243
150
13
14
17

models do not comprise a significant share of the market for air conditioners in residential or commercial applications. Id.
The projected trends from the May 2012 final rule and those based on the updated data both generally show declines in shipments for small 65,000
and <135,000 Btu/h, large and very large WCUACs, and very large ECUACs.
The shipment levels under the 2019
constant projections are lower than the 2012 constant projections for small 65,000 and <135,000 Btu/h and large WCUACs and very large ECUACs. The 2019 constant projections for very large WCUACs are higher than the 2012
constant projections but lower than the 2012 trend projections. The 2019
regression projections for very large
PO 00000

Frm 00007

Fmt 4700

Sfmt 4700

I

I


72
156

238
150
12
14
16

I


40
156


24
156


12
156


8
156

232
150
11
14
16

227
150
10
14
14

221
150
9 14
14

216
150
9 14
14

I

WCUACs and ECUACs show a more stable level of shipments over the analysis period than the 2019 trend models, but are lower than the 2012
trend projection.
Given that DOE did not analyze ECUACs and WCUACs with cooling capacity less than 65,000 Btu/h for the May 2012 final rule, no comparisons to the current projections are possible. The current trended shipments projections for the small cooling capacity less than 65,000 Btu/h equipment classes reach 10 or fewer shipments by 2045.
In response to the September 2020
NOPD, UCA stated that the historical shipments data presented by DOE is not complete and asserted that the shipments data does not capture dozens of manufacturers that do not belong to
E:FRFM14JYR1.SGM

14JYR1

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Federal Register - July 14, 2021

TitoloFederal Register

PaeseStati Uniti

Data14/07/2021

Conteggio pagine234

Numero di edizioni7798

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Ultima edizione18/06/2026

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