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Federal Register / Vol. 86, No. 155 / Monday, August 16, 2021 / Notices
because data from the Federal Highway Administrations former waiver study program clearly demonstrated the driving performance of experienced monocular drivers in the program is better than that of all CMV drivers collectively.1 The fact that experienced monocular drivers demonstrated safe driving records in the waiver program supports a conclusion that other monocular drivers, meeting the same qualifying conditions as those required by the waiver program, are also likely to have adapted to their vision deficiency and will continue to operate safely.
The first major research correlating past and future performance was done in England by Greenwood and Yule in 1920. Subsequent studies, building on that model, concluded that crash rates for the same individual exposed to certain risks for two different time periods vary only slightly See Bates and Neyman, University of California Publications in Statistics, April 1952.
Other studies demonstrated theories of predicting crash proneness from crash history coupled with other factors.
These factorssuch as age, sex, geographic location, mileage driven and conviction historyare used every day by insurance companies and motor vehicle bureaus to predict the probability of an individual experiencing future crashes See Weber, Donald C., Accident Rate Potential: An Application of Multiple Regression Analysis of a Poisson Process, Journal of American Statistical Association, June 1971. A 1964 California Driver Record Study prepared by the California Department of Motor Vehicles concluded that the best overall crash predictor for both concurrent and nonconcurrent events is the number of single convictions. This study used 3
consecutive years of data, comparing the experiences of drivers in the first 2 years with their experiences in the final year.

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III. Qualifications of Applicants Christopher W. Cochran Mr. Cochran, 37, has had optic atrophy in his left eye since birth. The visual acuity in his right eye is 20/20, and in his left eye, hand motion.
Following an examination in 2021, his optometrist stated, In my medical opinion, the patient has sufficient vision to perform the driving tasks required to operate a commercial vehicle. Mr.
Cochran reported that he has driven straight trucks for 5 years, accumulating 1 A thorough discussion of this issue may be found in a FHWA final rule published in the Federal Register on March 26, 1996 and available on the internet at https www.govinfo.gov/content/
pkg/FR-1996-03-26/pdf/96-7226.pdf.

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13,000 miles. He holds a Class B CDL
from Missouri. His driving record for the last 3 years shows no crashes and no convictions for moving violations in a CMV.
Jon C. Dillon Mr. Dillon, 53, has a macular scar in his left eye due to a traumatic incident in 1996. The visual acuity in his right eye is 20/20, and in his left eye, counting fingers. Following an examination in 2021, his optometrist stated, It is my medical opinion that Mr. Dillion has sufficient vision to perform the driving tests required to operate a commercial vehicle under guidelines. Mr. Dillon reported that he has driven straight trucks for 28 years, accumulating 14,000 miles, and tractortrailer combinations for 15 years, accumulating 45,000 miles. He holds a Class A CDL from Minnesota. His driving record for the last 3 years shows no crashes and no convictions for moving violations in a CMV.
David L. Marsh Mr. Marsh, 59, has had amblyopia in his left eye since childhood. The visual acuity in his right eye is 20/20, and in his left eye, 20/70. Following an examination in 2020, his ophthalmologist stated, In my medical opinion, David Marsh has sufficient vision to perform the driving tasks required to operate a commercial vehicle. Mr. Marsh reported that he has driven straight trucks for 39 years, accumulating 136,500 miles, tractortrailer combinations for 4 years, accumulating 14,000 miles, and buses for 10 years, accumulating 35,000 miles.
He holds a Class A CDL from Washington. His driving record for the last 3 years shows no crashes and no convictions for moving violations in a CMV.
Jason A. Melo Mr. Melo, 36, has had amblyopia in his right eye since birth. The visual acuity in his right eye is 20/150, and in his left eye, 20/20. Following an examination in 2020, his optometrist stated, In my medical opinion, Jason has sufficient vision to perform the duties required to operate a commercial vehicle. Mr. Melo reported that he has driven straight trucks for 6 years, accumulating 117,000 miles. He holds a Class B CDL from New Hampshire. His driving record for the last 3 years shows no crashes and no convictions for moving violations in a CMV.
Jeffrey S. Rockhill Mr. Rockhill, 30, has had amblyopia in his right eye since childhood. The
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visual acuity in his right eye is 20/400, and in his left eye, 20/20. Following an examination in 2021, his optometrist stated, Jeff has adequate vision to perform the driving tasks required to operate a commercial vehicle. Mr.
Rockhill reported that he has driven straight trucks for 20 years, accumulating 300,000 miles, and tractor-trailer combinations for 20 years, accumulating 300,000 miles. He holds a Class A CDL from Kansas. His driving record for the last 3 years shows no crashes and no convictions for moving violations in a CMV.
Leonard J. VanVelkinburgh Mr. VanVelkinburgh, 74, has complete vision loss in his right eye due to a traumatic incident in childhood.
The visual acuity in his right eye is no light perception, and in his left eye, 20/
20. Following an examination in 2021, his ophthalmologist stated, I believe that he has sufficient vision in his left eye to provide the driving tasks required to operate a commercial vehicle. Mr.
VanVelkinburgh reported that he has driven straight trucks for 13 years, accumulating 65,000 miles, and tractortrailer combinations for 13 years, accumulating 58,500 miles. He holds a Class A CDL from California. His driving record for the last 3 years shows no crashes, and one citation for moving violations in a CMV; he exceeded the speed limit by 20 miles per hour.
Ananias E. Yoder Mr. Yoder, 27, has had amblyopia in his left eye since childhood. The visual acuity in his right eye is 20/20, and in his left eye, 20/150. Following an examination in 2020, his optometrist stated, In my medical opinion, Mr.
Yoder has sufficient vision to perform driving tasks required to operate a commercial vehicle. Mr. Yoder reported that he has driven tractortrailer combinations for 3 years, accumulating 150,000 miles. He holds a Class A CDL from Iowa. His driving record for the last 3 years shows no crashes and no convictions for moving violations in a CMV.
IV. Request for Comments In accordance with 49 U.S.C. 31136e and 31315b, FMCSA requests public comment from all interested persons on the exemption petitions described in this notice. We will consider all comments and material received before the close of business on the closing date
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