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Federal Register / Vol. 86, No. 138 / Thursday, July 22, 2021 / Proposed Rules
FPDSNG. According to the data, the government spent $312 billion on service contracts in 2019 with a place of performance in the 50 States or Washington, DC This excludes 1
financial assistance such as direct payments, loans, and insurance; 2
contracts performed outside the U.S.
because the proposed rule only covers contracts performed in the U.S.; and 3
expenditures on goods purchased by the Federal government because the proposed rule does not apply to contracts for the manufacturing and furnishing of materials and supplies.34
To determine the share of all output associated with Government contracts, the Department divided industry-level contracting expenditures by that industrys gross output.35 For example,
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34 For example, the government purchases pencils; however, a contract solely to purchase pencils would not be covered by the Executive order. Contracts for goods were identified in the USASpending.gov data if the product or service code begins with a number services begin with a letter.
35 Bureau of Economic Analysis. 2020. Table 8.
Gross Output by Industry Group. https
www.bea.gov/news/2020/gross-domestic-productindustry-fourth-quarter-and-year-2019. Gross output of an industry is the market value of the goods and services produced by an industry, including commodity taxes. The components of gross output include sales or receipts and other operating income, commodity taxes, plus inventory change. Gross output differs from value added, which measures the contribution of the industrys labor and capital to its gross output.

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in the information industry, $10.1
billion in contracting expenditures was divided by $1.9 trillion in total output, resulting in an estimate that covered Government contracts comprise 0.52
percent of every dollar of output in the information industry.
The Department then multiplied the ratio of covered-to-gross output by private sector employment to estimate the share of employees working on covered contracts for each 2-digit NAICS industry. Private sector employment is from the May 2019
Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics OEWS, formerly the Occupational Employment Statistics.36 37 All workers performing services on or in connection with a covered contract are covered by the Executive order and this proposed rule, however, unincorporated self-employed workers are excluded from the OEWS.
Thus, the OEWS data are supplemented with data from the 2019 Current Population Survey Merged Outgoing Rotation Group CPS MORG to include unincorporated self-employed in the 36 Bureau of Labor Statistics. Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics. May 2019.
Available at: http www.bls.gov/oes/.
37 Some adjustments were made to the OEWS
employment estimates to make the population more consistent with BEAs gross output and better reflect private employment. The Department excluded Federal U.S. Postal service employees, employees of government hospitals, and employees of government educational institutions.

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estimate of covered workers. To demonstrate, in the information industry, there were approximately 3.0
million private sector employees in 2019 and covered Government contracts comprise 0.52 percent of every dollar of gross output. The Department multiplied 3.0 million by 0.52 percent to estimate that the Executive order will potentially affect 15,400 employees on covered procurement contracts in the information industry.38
This methodology represents the number of year-round equivalent potentially affected employees who work exclusively on covered Federal contracts. Thus, when the Department refers to potentially affected employees in this analysis, the Department is referring to this illustrative number of employees who work exclusively on covered Government contracts. The number of employees who will experience wage increases will likely exceed this number since all affected workers may not work exclusively on Federal contracts. Implications of this for costs and transfers are discussed in the relevant sections.
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38 Note that the number of employees aggregated across industries does not match the total number of employees derived using totals due to the order of operations of multiplying and summing i.e., the sum of the products is not equal to the product of the sums.

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