Federal Register - May 7, 2021

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Federal Register / Vol. 86, No. 87 / Friday, May 7, 2021 / Proposed Rules
and whether those vary by motor type, control type, or any other factor affecting their efficiency. DOE also requests input on SVIL repair and maintenance costs and frequencies, and SVIL lifetimes, including average and maximum service lifetimes.
G. Shipments DOE develops shipments forecasts of equipment to calculate the national impacts of potential amended energy conservation standards on energy consumption, net present value NPV, and future manufacturer cash flows. DOE shipments projections are typically based on available historical data broken out by equipment class, capacity, and efficiency. Current sales estimates allow for a more accurate model that captures recent trends in the market.
For circulator pumps, DOE utilized manufacturer-provided confidential historical shipments data up to the year 2015 to estimate future circulator pump shipments, which were broken down by circulator pump variety CP1, CP2, CP3, horsepower rating, and circulator pump housing material.
DOE requests circulator pump annual sales data i.e., number of shipments from 2016 to 2020 broken out by circulator pump category, horsepower rating, and circulator pump housing material. If disaggregated fractions of annual sales are not available, DOE
requests more aggregated fractions of annual sales. DOE also requests annual historical shipments data for SVILs for the past 10 years, if possible disaggregated by horsepower rating, motor type, housing material, or any other differentiating factor used in the industry.
To project future shipments, DOE
typically uses new housing starts projections and floorspace projections from the Annual Energy Outlook AEO
as market drivers for the residential and commercial sectors, respectively. In addition to the aforementioned drivers, for hydronic heating applications in the residential sector, the CPWG also agreed to utilize Department of Commerce historical data from 1973 to 2015, which showed a declining saturation for new construction. Based on these inputs and resulting projections, the CPWG
agreed that circulator pump shipments would remain constant at approximately 1.8 million units per year throughout the analysis period 20222051.
Docket No. EERE2016BTSTD0004, No. 100 at pp. 1921.
To project future shipments of circulator pumps, DOE plans to utilize the market drivers and saturation trends agreed by the CPWG and to update the
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data sources with the most current ones, if available.
DOE requests information on any market changes since 2015 that would justify using market drivers and saturation trends that are different than those recommended by the CPWG. DOE
also requests input on the market drivers and saturation trends that would help project shipments for SVIL pumps.

significant burden on manufacturers, the combined effects of several existing or impending regulations may have serious consequences for some manufacturers, groups of manufacturers, or an entire industry. Assessing the impact of a single regulation may overlook this cumulative regulatory burden. In addition to energy conservation standards, other regulations can significantly affect manufacturers financial operations.
Multiple regulations affecting the same manufacturer can strain profits and lead companies to abandon product lines or markets with lower expected future returns than competing products. For these reasons, DOE conducts an analysis of cumulative regulatory burden as part of its rulemakings pertaining to appliance efficiency.
To the extent feasible, DOE seeks the names and contact information of any domestic or foreign-based manufacturers that distribute circulator pumps or SVILs in the United States.
DOE identified small businesses as a subgroup of manufacturers that could be disproportionally impacted by amended energy conservation standards. DOE
requests the names and contact information of small business manufacturers, as defined by the SBAs size threshold, of circulator pumps or SVILs that manufacture products in the United States. In addition, DOE requests comment on any other manufacturer subgroups that could be disproportionally impacted by amended energy conservation standards. DOE
requests feedback on any potential approaches that could be considered to address impacts on manufacturers, including small businesses.
DOE requests information regarding the cumulative regulatory burden impacts on manufacturers of circulator pumps and SVILs associated with 1
other DOE standards applying to different products that these manufacturers may also make and 2
product-specific regulatory actions of other Federal agencies. DOE also requests comment on its methodology for computing cumulative regulatory burden and whether there are any flexibilities it can consider that would reduce this burden while remaining consistent with the requirements of EPCA.

H. Manufacturer Impact Analysis The purpose of the manufacturer impact analysis MIA is to estimate the financial impact of amended energy conservation standards on manufacturers of circulator pumps, and to evaluate the potential impact of such standards on direct employment and manufacturing capacity. The MIA
includes both quantitative and qualitative aspects. The quantitative part of the MIA primarily relies on the Government Regulatory Impact Model GRIM, an industry cash-flow model adapted for each product in this analysis, with the key output of industry net present value INPV. The qualitative part of the MIA addresses the potential impacts of energy conservation standards on manufacturing capacity and industry competition, as well as factors such as product characteristics, impacts on particular subgroups of firms, and important market and product trends.
As part of the MIA, DOE intends to analyze impacts of amended energy conservation standards on subgroups of manufacturers of covered equipment, including small business manufacturers.
DOE uses the Small Business Administrations SBA small business size standards to determine whether manufacturers qualify as small businesses, which are listed by the applicable North American Industry Classification System NAICS code.13
Manufacturing of circulator pumps is classified under NAICS 333914, Measuring, Dispensing, and Other Pumping Equipment Manufacturing, and the SBA sets a threshold of 750
employees or less for a domestic entity to be considered as a small business.
This employee threshold includes all employees in a business parent company and any other subsidiaries.
One aspect of assessing manufacturer burden involves examining the cumulative impact of multiple DOE
standards and the product-specific regulatory actions of other Federal agencies that affect the manufacturers of a covered product or equipment. While any one regulation may not impose a
I. Other Issues The CPWG analyzed four ELs ELs 1
through 4 as potential standard levels for circulator pumps.14 The CPWG
recommended standard level 2 as the
13 Available online at https www.sba.gov/
document/support--table-size-standards.

14 The CPWG did not analyze SVILs, therefore no standard levels were considered.

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Federal Register - May 7, 2021

TitoloFederal Register

PaeseStati Uniti

Data07/05/2021

Conteggio pagine230

Numero di edizioni7798

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